Unless that encourages the US to deploy everything to avoid that. We can’t even begin to predict what the idiot in charge will do.
If he goes that route the government of Iran would probably fall after a lot of death and then a long bloody, and ultimately unsuccessful, occupation would follow.
Hopefully he’s not dumb enough to try, and everyday the US doesn’t fully invade does tilt the scales in Iran’s favor
The government of Iran won’t fall before they mine the Strait, and then it’ll be closed without any further input. Then all Iran has to do is survive the occupation while the global economy collapses, eventually starving the occupation of the funds it needs.
They don’t need to take on the full brunt of the US, they just need to keep the Strait closed to US-friendly traffic until the US economy collapses.
Unless that encourages the US to deploy everything to avoid that. We can’t even begin to predict what the idiot in charge will do.
If he goes that route the government of Iran would probably fall after a lot of death and then a long bloody, and ultimately unsuccessful, occupation would follow.
Hopefully he’s not dumb enough to try, and everyday the US doesn’t fully invade does tilt the scales in Iran’s favor
The government of Iran won’t fall before they mine the Strait, and then it’ll be closed without any further input. Then all Iran has to do is survive the occupation while the global economy collapses, eventually starving the occupation of the funds it needs.
That is a very good point and seems likely if anyone tries to mount a full scale invasion.