• 0 Posts
  • 5 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
cake
Cake day: February 23rd, 2025

help-circle
  • If the goal is to destabilize the regime until it collapses and then we fund a friendly government into power, it might be doable if we can block their oil exports. But we just lifted sanctions on their oil, so they’ll never run out of money. China may be making shaheds now, so even if we bomb all of Iran’s military manufacturing infrastructure, they can probably keep buying weapons forever.

    Iran is very mountainous. This restricts the use of our biggest and best machines of war and gives them places to hide things. Iran is also big geographically and demographically, much larger than Iraq or Afghanistan. It’s also important to note that while the regime is not loved by many, they ALL really hate us. The regime is evil, but everyone west of Greece or so is a fucking demon to them. They have decent historical reasons to feel this way.

    Occupying them and achieving complete surrender is probably not going to happen, and if we try for it, it’ll cost massive shitloads of money we don’t have and probably also a lot of lives. The best thing that can happen is we bail and try to say we won. The worst is the president nukes them and Russia nukes us back on their behalf. What I think is most likely is a collapse in the dollar and a withdrawal afterwards.