This was the most plausible idea I’ve seen. They might try to take the ports in the south, and hope that the indigenous minority there would side with the US. It’s a hare brained scheme, but seems very plausible that they would think it’d work.
Of all the ethnic groups they could pick out in Iran to do a landing and expect support from, the Balouchis are the most likely. Kurds are not in a geographic position where an invasion is plausible and Iranian Azeris would rather annex Azerbaijan then join them as separatists. Turkmen and loor and too small of a group, nomadic, and share a very small border with a country that’s explicitly neutral in all its affairs (Turkmenistan) or actively hostile to the US (Afghanistan).
Balouchis share a border with Pakistan, where separatists often agotate from. They are Sunni, extremely poor by the standards of the rest of Iran, and due to foreign interference a growing sentiment of Wahabbism has taken hold of parts of the community. Sistan-Balouchistan is largely rural and under developed outside the major cities and ports. However, I wouldn’t say that insurrectionist sentiments are very prominent, especially after the US-Israel’s aggression.
I would expect that quite a few Balouchis have become Basijis in preparation to an invasion, and although the land is less mountainous then the Western parts of the country, it’s still not entirely flat.
This was the most plausible idea I’ve seen. They might try to take the ports in the south, and hope that the indigenous minority there would side with the US. It’s a hare brained scheme, but seems very plausible that they would think it’d work.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S9xuuc1U_pc
Of all the ethnic groups they could pick out in Iran to do a landing and expect support from, the Balouchis are the most likely. Kurds are not in a geographic position where an invasion is plausible and Iranian Azeris would rather annex Azerbaijan then join them as separatists. Turkmen and loor and too small of a group, nomadic, and share a very small border with a country that’s explicitly neutral in all its affairs (Turkmenistan) or actively hostile to the US (Afghanistan).
Balouchis share a border with Pakistan, where separatists often agotate from. They are Sunni, extremely poor by the standards of the rest of Iran, and due to foreign interference a growing sentiment of Wahabbism has taken hold of parts of the community. Sistan-Balouchistan is largely rural and under developed outside the major cities and ports. However, I wouldn’t say that insurrectionist sentiments are very prominent, especially after the US-Israel’s aggression.
I would expect that quite a few Balouchis have become Basijis in preparation to an invasion, and although the land is less mountainous then the Western parts of the country, it’s still not entirely flat.
Yeah, I can’t see this working out either, but at least there’s a plausible reason for the US to try and do this.
I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy: