That’s not what my comment says. Give it an other read and you’ll see I addressed that.

The overall technology of EV is better than ICE but that doesn’t mean every EV is better than every ICE.

Cars may be better than horses but no horse ever exploded the way a Ford Pinto would.

Given Germany’s uncritical embrace of Israel, it’s pretty clear that the Nazis have not been forgotten.

The problem is that instead of learning to guard against fascism, Germany’s lesson was that Israel is above criticism.

There are also a bunch cases of where China decided against retaliatory tarrifs.

There are whole lists of retaliatory tarrifs that the EU has enacted and it’s one of the standard remedies in a WTO dispute.

Countries retaliate against protectionist policies all the time. Is it only evidence of espionage when China does it or is the whole world spying on each other?

That’s a fair criticism too.

I would have thought with all the talk about, “Never again,” we’d be a bit more upset about genocide but we have a pretty poor record around doing anything about them, caring about them, and in many cases, just knowing about them.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_genocides

There were French citizens on that flotilla.

It would be crazy of the French government not to consider that a line.

Did he apply for a job as a pencil pusher?

There are two potential lines of argument. One is prediction markets in general, the other is prediction markets as they’re currently implemented.

You’re talking about how they’re implemented and I agree. It’s a total mess.

My comment was on the general (and much older) idea of prediction markets. None of the current crypto bros would like those since they would be much more heavily regulated.

The idea of prediction markets is pretty old. Nobody was able to implement a functional one until recently.

The current prediction markets are all based on crypto so it’s really hard to identify inside traders but prediction markets as a general concept don’t depend on it. Theoretically, there’s no reason why you couldn’t have a prediction market that only allowed registered investors.

They’re supposed to work using Mosaic Theory. That’s exactly the same theory that allows anyone else to make stock predictions. You can take a bunch of data that doesn’t meet the insider trading definition, ie acting on material, non-public information. You can take a bunch of public information and if you’re clever enough to aggregate it the right way, you’re allowed to trade on it.